Alpha Compute Corp Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, July 22nd, 2026
1 Day
184.42%
increased by 8.44%
1 Week
173.03%
decreased by 2.95%
1 Month
156.68%
decreased by 19.30%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 21, 2026 at 09:18 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 4, 2020 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days. The volatility power δ = 0.77 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.
μ
APMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.0000 | 3.89*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2636 | 32.91*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6103 | 47.14*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0291 | -1.93* |
δ power Transformation power | 0.7720 | 6.99*** |
Persistence:
0.820
Half-life:
3 days
Other Alpha Compute Corp Analyses
Other Asy. Power MEM Analyses on Equities