Poet Technologies Inc Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, July 15th, 2026
1 Day
96.64%
1 Week
94.87%
1 Month
90.93%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 09:30 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 4, 2014 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 58% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets. The volatility power δ = 1.37 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.
APMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.0000 | 7.39*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1897 | 28.49*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7422 | 89.50*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1665 | -9.97*** |
δ power Transformation power | 1.3695 | 18.85*** |
Persistence:
0.902
Half-life:
7 days
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