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V-Lab

Pelagos Insurance Capital Ltd Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, July 22nd, 2026

1 Day

33.59%

decreased by 3.96%

1 Week

30.64%

decreased by 6.91%

1 Month

26.94%

decreased by 10.61%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 21, 2026 at 09:52 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Pelagos Insurance Capital Ltd APMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 29, 2023 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 11% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets. The volatility power δ = 0.50 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.

μ

APMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.2549
6.74***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2738
19.47***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.5716
26.41***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.1076
-4.35***
δ

power

Transformation power

0.5000
3.27***

Persistence:

0.796

Half-life:

3 days