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V-Lab

Keel Infrastructure Corp AGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 19th, 2026

1 Day

96.95%

decreased by 4.69%

1 Week

100.12%

decreased by 1.52%

1 Month

102.39%

increased by 0.75%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 16, 2026 at 10:14 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/16/2024

to

10/16/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Keel Infrastructure Corp AGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 21, 2021 to Oct 16, 2026
Boundary Parameters

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 2 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 2 days.

σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 2-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst15.0000
5.85***
αARCH0.1065
3.34***
βGARCH0.5385
10.25***
γleverage-0.2069
-0.13

0.645

Persistence

2d

Half-life
σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

15.0000
5.85***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1065
3.34***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.5385
10.25***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.2069
-0.13

Persistence:

0.645

Half-life:

2 days