Keel Infrastructure Corp AGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, October 19th, 2026
1 Day
96.95%
decreased by 4.69%
1 Week
100.12%
decreased by 1.52%
1 Month
102.39%
increased by 0.75%
Analysis last updated: Friday, October 16, 2026 at 10:14 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 21, 2021 to Oct 16, 2026Boundary Parameters
Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 2 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 2 days.
σ
AGARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 2-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 15.0000 | 5.85*** |
| αARCH | 0.1065 | 3.34*** |
| βGARCH | 0.5385 | 10.25*** |
| γleverage | -0.2069 | -0.13 |
0.645
Persistence2d
Half-lifeσ
AGARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 15.0000 | 5.85*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1065 | 3.34*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.5385 | 10.25*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.2069 | -0.13 |
Persistence:
0.645
Half-life:
2 days
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