V-Lab
Keel Infrastructure Corp MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 6th, 2026
1 Day
117.90%
decreased by 7.70%
1 Week
115.58%
decreased by 10.02%
1 Month
112.71%
decreased by 12.89%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 09:27 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 21, 2021 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 2 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 2 days.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 26 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0988 | 10.20*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6513 | 6.74*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0150 | 0.74 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 0.14 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.1027 | 0.13 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.6648 | 0.26 |
Persistence:
0.758
Half-life:
2 days
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