Keel Infrastructure Corp MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 13th, 2026
1 Day
100.52%
decreased by 3.08%
1 Week
100.85%
decreased by 2.75%
1 Month
101.44%
decreased by 2.16%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 10, 2026 at 10:12 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 21, 2021 to Jul 10, 2026Boundary Parameters
Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 26 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0861 | 8.85*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7198 | 7.99*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0149 | -0.90 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 0.10 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0762 | 0.09 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.6765 | 0.20 |
Persistence:
0.798
Half-life:
3 days
Other Keel Infrastructure Corp Analyses
Other MF2-GARCH Analyses on Equities