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V-Lab

Keel Infrastructure Corp MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 6th, 2026

1 Day

117.90%

decreased by 7.70%

1 Week

115.58%

decreased by 10.02%

1 Month

112.71%

decreased by 12.89%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 09:27 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Keel Infrastructure Corp MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 21, 2021 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 2 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 2 days.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

26
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0988
10.20***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6513
6.74***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0150
0.74
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

10.0000
0.14
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.1027
0.13
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.6648
0.26

Persistence:

0.758

Half-life:

2 days