V-Lab
Keel Infrastructure Corp MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026
1 Day
109.23%
increased by 1.86%
1 Week
109.99%
increased by 2.62%
1 Month
107.98%
increased by 0.61%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 09:26 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 21, 2021 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 26 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0841 | 8.89*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7085 | 7.74*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0028 | 0.16 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 0.12 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0927 | 0.11 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.6680 | 0.23 |
Persistence:
0.794
Half-life:
3 days
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