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V-Lab

Keel Infrastructure Corp MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 13th, 2026

1 Day

100.52%

decreased by 3.08%

1 Week

100.85%

decreased by 2.75%

1 Month

101.44%

decreased by 2.16%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 10, 2026 at 10:12 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Keel Infrastructure Corp MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 21, 2021 to Jul 10, 2026
Boundary Parameters

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

26
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0861
8.85***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7198
7.99***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0149
-0.90
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

10.0000
0.10
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0762
0.09
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.6765
0.20

Persistence:

0.798

Half-life:

3 days