V-Lab
Kyntra Bio Inc Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 6th, 2026
1 Day
41.75%
increased by 2.62%
1 Week
42.99%
increased by 3.86%
1 Month
46.64%
increased by 7.51%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 09:27 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 14, 2014 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 15 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 15 days. The volatility power δ = 1.18 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.
μ
APMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.2034 | 5.88*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1709 | 23.47*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8148 | 95.05*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0320 | 3.12*** |
δ power Transformation power | 1.1837 | 10.13*** |
Persistence:
0.954
Half-life:
15 days
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