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V-Lab

Smith Douglas Homes Corp MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 6th, 2026

1 Day

52.12%

increased by 0.15%

1 Week

54.45%

increased by 2.48%

1 Month

55.94%

increased by 3.97%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 09:49 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Smith Douglas Homes Corp MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 11, 2024 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 1 trading day, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 1 day.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

21
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.1991
0.58
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1076
0.41
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

8.6980
0.01
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.3771
0.01
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0065
0.00

Persistence:

0.253

Half-life:

1 days