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V-Lab

CID Holdco Inc EGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026

1 Day

231.31%

increased by 2.59%

1 Week

195.82%

decreased by 32.90%

1 Month

152.44%

decreased by 76.28%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 09:40 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of CID Holdco Inc EGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 23, 2025 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.7188
4.90***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1828
5.35***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8258
30.17***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.1784
-5.18***

Persistence:

0.826

Half-life:

4 days