V-Lab
CID Holdco Inc EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026
1 Day
231.31%
increased by 2.59%
1 Week
195.82%
decreased by 32.90%
1 Month
152.44%
decreased by 76.28%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 09:40 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 23, 2025 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
EGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.7188 | 4.90*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1828 | 5.35*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8258 | 30.17*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1784 | -5.18*** |
Persistence:
0.826
Half-life:
4 days
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