V-Lab
Ibotta Inc EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, September 14th, 2026
1 Day
44.18%
decreased by 2.12%
1 Week
45.61%
decreased by 0.69%
1 Month
50.14%
increased by 3.84%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, September 12, 2026 at 12:11 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 18, 2024 to Sep 11, 2026Model Insight
The leverage effect is captured by the negative gamma (gamma = -0.1453), confirming that negative shocks increase volatility more than positive shocks of equal magnitude.
σ
EGARCH Model
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Asymmetry: Negative shocks have larger impact on volatility (leverage effect)
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.1381 | 0.45 |
| αARCH | -0.0773 | -1.60 |
| βGARCH | 0.9488 | 13.14*** |
| γleverage | -0.1453 | -2.80*** |
0.949
Persistence13d
Half-lifeσ
EGARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1381 | 0.45 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | -0.0773 | -1.60 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9488 | 13.14*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1453 | -2.80*** |
Persistence:
0.949
Half-life:
13 days
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