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V-Lab

Ibotta Inc GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, September 14th, 2026

1 Day

62.02%

increased by 1.79%

1 Week

63.87%

increased by 3.64%

1 Month

67.33%

increased by 7.10%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, September 12, 2026 at 12:13 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Ibotta Inc GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 18, 2024 to Sep 11, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 5 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 5 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 3.11 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 5-day half-lifev = 3.11 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst19.5595
0.51
αARCH0.0876
0.77
βGARCH0.8783
3.60***
νDF3.1094
0.50

0.878

Persistence

5d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

19.5595
0.51
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0876
0.77
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8783
3.60***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

3.1094
0.50

Persistence:

0.878

Half-life:

5 days