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V-Lab

Estee Lauder Cos Inc/The EGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026

1 Day

35.55%

increased by 0.55%

1 Week

35.70%

increased by 0.70%

1 Month

36.29%

increased by 1.29%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 10:30 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Estee Lauder Cos Inc/The EGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 17, 1995 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.991, volatility shocks have a half-life of 74 trading days (~0.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks

σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0194
3.90***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0579
19.63***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9907
606.65***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0565
-17.86***

Persistence:

0.991

Half-life:

74 days