V-Lab
Estee Lauder Cos Inc/The EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026
1 Day
35.55%
increased by 0.55%
1 Week
35.70%
increased by 0.70%
1 Month
36.29%
increased by 1.29%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 10:30 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 17, 1995 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.991, volatility shocks have a half-life of 74 trading days (~0.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks
σ
EGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0194 | 3.90*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0579 | 19.63*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9907 | 606.65*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0565 | -17.86*** |
Persistence:
0.991
Half-life:
74 days
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