V-Lab
Estee Lauder Cos Inc/The GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 27th, 2026
1 Day
40.37%
decreased by 0.30%
1 Week
40.34%
decreased by 0.33%
1 Month
40.24%
decreased by 0.43%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 26, 2026 at 10:40 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 17, 1995 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.997, volatility shocks have a half-life of 222 trading days (~0.9 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0161 | 5.53*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9828 | 945.89*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0282 | 16.03*** |
Persistence:
0.997
Half-life:
222 days
Other GJR-GARCH Analyses on Equities