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V-Lab

Estee Lauder Cos Inc/The GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 27th, 2026

1 Day

40.37%

decreased by 0.30%

1 Week

40.34%

decreased by 0.33%

1 Month

40.24%

decreased by 0.43%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 26, 2026 at 10:40 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Estee Lauder Cos Inc/The GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 17, 1995 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.997, volatility shocks have a half-life of 222 trading days (~0.9 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0161
5.53***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9828
945.89***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0282
16.03***

Persistence:

0.997

Half-life:

222 days