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Blue Owl Capital Corp GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 15th, 2026

1 Day

14.39%

decreased by 1.41%

1 Week

15.41%

decreased by 0.39%

1 Month

17.99%

increased by 2.19%

Analysis last updated: Monday, September 14, 2026 at 09:54 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Blue Owl Capital Corp GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 18, 2019 to Sep 11, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 12 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 12 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 5.62 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 12-day half-lifev = 5.62 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.9804
1.77*
αARCH0.1476
3.89***
βGARCH0.9447
30.43***
νDF5.6197
1.22

0.945

Persistence

12d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.9804
1.77*
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1476
3.89***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9447
30.43***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

5.6197
1.22

Persistence:

0.945

Half-life:

12 days