Blue Owl Capital Corp GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, October 26th, 2026
1 Day
26.44%
decreased by 1.12%
1 Week
26.06%
decreased by 1.50%
1 Month
24.94%
decreased by 2.62%
Analysis last updated: Friday, October 23, 2026 at 11:37 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 18, 2019 to Oct 23, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 12 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 12 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 6.16 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 12-day half-lifev = 6.16 · fat tails
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωlong-run | 2.0148 | 1.96** |
| αscore | 0.1455 | 3.91*** |
| βpersistence | 0.9456 | 34.32*** |
| νDF | 6.1646 | 1.06 |
0.946
Persistence12d
Half-life𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω long-run Long-run variance given a price move | 2.0148 | 1.96** |
α score Weight on the scaled score | 0.1455 | 3.91*** |
β persistence Volatility persistence | 0.9456 | 34.32*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 6.1646 | 1.06 |
Persistence:
0.946
Half-life:
12 days
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