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V-Lab

Blue Owl Capital Corp GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026

1 Day

17.58%

decreased by 1.79%

1 Week

18.15%

decreased by 1.22%

1 Month

19.67%

increased by 0.30%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 09:48 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

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graph of Blue Owl Capital Corp GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 18, 2019 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 12 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 12 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 5.65 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2.0003
7.07***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1495
15.57***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9449
122.51***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

5.6470
4.89***

Persistence:

0.945

Half-life:

12 days