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V-Lab

Blue Owl Capital Corp GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 6th, 2026

1 Day

29.14%

increased by 2.72%

1 Week

28.47%

increased by 2.05%

1 Month

26.54%

increased by 0.12%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 09:47 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Blue Owl Capital Corp GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 18, 2019 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 12 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 12 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 5.52 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.9744
6.98***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1516
15.12***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9422
115.89***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

5.5211
4.87***

Persistence:

0.942

Half-life:

12 days