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V-Lab

Inlif Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 6th, 2026

1 Day

439.55%

increased by 108.86%

1 Week

442.40%

increased by 111.71%

1 Month

453.65%

increased by 122.96%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 09:26 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of Inlif Ltd GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 2025 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, volatility shocks have a half-life of 1386294 trading days (~5501.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
1.49
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0968
0.94
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7266
15.38***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.3531
1.00

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

1386294 days