Inlif Ltd EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, October 19th, 2026
1 Day
157.32%
increased by 4.81%
1 Week
199.46%
increased by 46.95%
1 Month
310.94%
increased by 158.43%
Analysis last updated: Friday, October 16, 2026 at 10:12 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 2025 to Oct 16, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 5 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 5 days.
σ
EGARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 5-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.8385 | 4.08*** |
| αARCH | 0.7198 | 4.67*** |
| βGARCH | 0.8711 | 27.53*** |
| γleverage | -0.2326 | -1.92* |
0.871
Persistence5d
Half-lifeσ
EGARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.8385 | 4.08*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.7198 | 4.67*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8711 | 27.53*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.2326 | -1.92* |
Persistence:
0.871
Half-life:
5 days
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