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V-Lab
V-Lab

Inlif Ltd APARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 19th, 2026

1 Day

138.81%

increased by 29.60%

1 Week

210.44%

increased by 101.23%

1 Month

468.11%

increased by 358.90%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 16, 2026 at 10:12 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/16/2024

to

10/16/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of Inlif Ltd APARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 2025 to Oct 16, 2026
Boundary Parameters

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 9 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 9 days. The volatility power δ = 0.50 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.

σ

APARCH Model

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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 9-day half-lifeδ = 0.50 · sub-quadratic power
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.5400
0.61
αARCH0.3959
1.42
βGARCH0.6041
2.21**
γleverage0.1496
0.25
δpower0.5000
1.41

0.929

Persistence

9d

Half-life
σ

APARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.5400
0.61
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.3959
1.42
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6041
2.21**
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1496
0.25
δ

power

Transformation power

0.5000
1.41

Persistence:

0.929

Half-life:

9 days