Inlif Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, October 19th, 2026
1 Day
270.03%
increased by 4.95%
1 Week
331.73%
increased by 66.65%
1 Month
355.55%
increased by 90.47%
Analysis last updated: Friday, October 16, 2026 at 10:12 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 2025 to Oct 16, 2026Boundary Parameters
Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 232% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
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Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 232% more than positive returns
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| mwindow | 126 | |
| αARCH | 0.2153 | 1.90* |
| βGARCH | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
| γleverage | 0.5000 | 2.12** |
| λ₁tau intercept | 5.4112 | 0.18 |
| λ₂forecast adj. | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
| λ₃tau persistence | 0.9898 | 12.32*** |
0.465
Persistence1d
Half-lifeσ
MF2-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 126 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2153 | 1.90* |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.5000 | 2.12** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 5.4112 | 0.18 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9898 | 12.32*** |
Persistence:
0.465
Half-life:
1 days
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