V-Lab
Inlif Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026
1 Day
257.10%
decreased by 1.38%
1 Week
272.51%
increased by 14.03%
1 Month
278.51%
increased by 20.03%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 09:25 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 2025 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 1 trading day, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 1 day.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0990 | 1.88* |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.3131 | 4.27*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0442 | 0.74 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 311.9841 |
Persistence:
0.434
Half-life:
1 days
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