V-Lab
Inlif Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 15th, 2026
1 Day
250.04%
increased by 7.80%
1 Week
263.05%
increased by 20.81%
1 Month
268.97%
increased by 26.73%
Analysis last updated: Monday, September 14, 2026 at 09:28 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 2025 to Sep 11, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 1 trading day, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 1 day.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 1-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| αARCH | 0.1061 | 0.56 |
| βGARCH | 0.3605 | 1.33 |
| γleverage | 0.0582 | 0.25 |
| λ₁tau intercept | 291.1519 |
0.496
Persistence1d
Half-lifeσ
MF2-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1061 | 0.56 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.3605 | 1.33 |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0582 | 0.25 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 291.1519 |
Persistence:
0.496
Half-life:
1 days
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