V-Lab
Inlif Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, October 5th, 2026
1 Day
346.56%
increased by 50.90%
1 Week
385.29%
increased by 89.63%
1 Month
403.40%
increased by 107.74%
Analysis last updated: Friday, October 2, 2026 at 10:40 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 2025 to Oct 2, 2026Boundary Parameters
Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 231% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
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Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 231% more than positive returns
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| mwindow | 126 | |
| αARCH | 0.2166 | 1.76* |
| βGARCH | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
| γleverage | 0.5000 | 2.05** |
| λ₁tau intercept | 1.5212 | 0.04 |
| λ₂forecast adj. | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
| λ₃tau persistence | 0.9992 | 9.92*** |
0.467
Persistence1d
Half-lifeσ
MF2-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 126 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2166 | 1.76* |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.5000 | 2.05** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 1.5212 | 0.04 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9992 | 9.92*** |
Persistence:
0.467
Half-life:
1 days
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