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V-Lab
V-Lab

Inlif Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 19th, 2026

1 Day

270.03%

increased by 4.95%

1 Week

331.73%

increased by 66.65%

1 Month

355.55%

increased by 90.47%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 16, 2026 at 10:12 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/16/2024

to

10/16/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of Inlif Ltd MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 2025 to Oct 16, 2026
Boundary Parameters

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 232% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 232% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow126
αARCH0.2153
1.90*
βGARCH0.0000
0.00
γleverage0.5000
2.12**
λ₁tau intercept5.4112
0.18
λ₂forecast adj.0.0000
0.00
λ₃tau persistence0.9898
12.32***

0.465

Persistence

1d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

126
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2153
1.90*
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0000
0.00
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.5000
2.12**
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

5.4112
0.18
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
0.00
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9898
12.32***

Persistence:

0.465

Half-life:

1 days