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V-Lab

TOP Kingwin Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 6th, 2026

1 Day

125.20%

decreased by 3.29%

1 Week

127.81%

decreased by 0.68%

1 Month

136.88%

increased by 8.39%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 6, 2026 at 02:17 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of TOP Kingwin Ltd GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 18, 2023 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 102% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2.2238
2.34**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0944
3.85***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9150
44.85***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0476
-2.43**

Persistence:

0.986

Half-life:

48 days