V-Lab
TOP Kingwin Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 6th, 2026
1 Day
125.20%
decreased by 3.29%
1 Week
127.81%
decreased by 0.68%
1 Month
136.88%
increased by 8.39%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 6, 2026 at 02:17 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 18, 2023 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 102% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 2.2238 | 2.34** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0944 | 3.85*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9150 | 44.85*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0476 | -2.43** |
Persistence:
0.986
Half-life:
48 days
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