Skip to main content
V-Lab
V-Lab

TOP Kingwin Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, September 14th, 2026

1 Day

98.78%

increased by 4.22%

1 Week

102.47%

increased by 7.91%

1 Month

114.97%

increased by 20.41%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, September 12, 2026 at 02:20 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of TOP Kingwin Ltd GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 18, 2023 to Sep 11, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 50 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 50 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 50-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst2.0280
0.60
αARCH0.0925
1.05
βGARCH0.9135
11.37***
γleverage-0.0395
-0.55

0.986

Persistence

50d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2.0280
0.60
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0925
1.05
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9135
11.37***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0395
-0.55

Persistence:

0.986

Half-life:

50 days