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V-Lab

TOP Kingwin Ltd GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 6th, 2026

1 Day

121.30%

decreased by 3.10%

1 Week

123.62%

decreased by 0.78%

1 Month

131.69%

increased by 7.29%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 6, 2026 at 02:17 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of TOP Kingwin Ltd GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 18, 2023 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 46 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 46 days.

σ

GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2.0206
3.05***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0674
5.18***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9176
48.89***

Persistence:

0.985

Half-life:

46 days