V-Lab
TOP Kingwin Ltd Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 6th, 2026
1 Day
110.35%
decreased by 6.82%
1 Week
118.19%
increased by 1.02%
1 Month
141.24%
increased by 24.07%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 6, 2026 at 02:17 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 18, 2023 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 25 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 25 days.
μ
AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 8.49*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2081 | 11.58*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7624 | 49.13*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0032 | 0.14 |
Persistence:
0.972
Half-life:
25 days
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