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V-Lab

TOP Kingwin Ltd Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 6th, 2026

1 Day

110.35%

decreased by 6.82%

1 Week

118.19%

increased by 1.02%

1 Month

141.24%

increased by 24.07%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 6, 2026 at 02:17 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of TOP Kingwin Ltd AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 18, 2023 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 25 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 25 days.

μ

AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
8.49***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2081
11.58***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7624
49.13***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0032
0.14

Persistence:

0.972

Half-life:

25 days