V-Lab
TOP Kingwin Ltd MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 6th, 2026
1 Day
110.29%
decreased by 6.81%
1 Week
118.14%
increased by 1.04%
1 Month
141.22%
increased by 24.12%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 6, 2026 at 02:17 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 18, 2023 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 25 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 25 days.
μ
MEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 3.61*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2100 | 11.24*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7622 | 47.13*** |
Persistence:
0.972
Half-life:
25 days
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