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V-Lab

Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026

1 Day

120.23%

increased by 0.07%

1 Week

119.79%

decreased by 0.37%

1 Month

118.33%

decreased by 1.83%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 09:20 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 10, 2025 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 22 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 22 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 3.32 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

50.3006
2.96***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0767
9.33***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9692
112.94***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

3.3173
6.15***

Persistence:

0.969

Half-life:

22 days