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Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 5th, 2026

1 Day

90.53%

decreased by 0.80%

1 Week

91.19%

decreased by 0.14%

1 Month

93.28%

increased by 1.95%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 2, 2026 at 10:24 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/02/2024

to

10/02/2026

6M ·

All

graph of Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 10, 2025 to Oct 2, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 20 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 20 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 3.57 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 20-day half-lifev = 3.57 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst39.8880
0.66
αARCH0.0606
1.70*
βGARCH0.9667
18.85***
νDF3.5658
0.90

0.967

Persistence

20d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

39.8880
0.66
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0606
1.70*
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9667
18.85***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

3.5658
0.90

Persistence:

0.967

Half-life:

20 days