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Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 26th, 2026

1 Day

101.97%

decreased by 18.85%

1 Week

101.96%

decreased by 18.86%

1 Month

101.96%

decreased by 18.86%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 23, 2026 at 09:53 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/23/2024

to

10/23/2026

6M ·

All

graph of Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 10, 2025 to Oct 23, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 4 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 4 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 3.89 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 4-day half-lifev = 3.89 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωlong-run41.2483
0.54
αscore0.1391
0.72
βpersistence0.8320
2.08**
νDF3.8948
0.31

0.832

Persistence

4d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

long-run

Long-run variance given a price move

41.2483
0.54
α

score

Weight on the scaled score

0.1391
0.72
β

persistence

Volatility persistence

0.8320
2.08**
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

3.8948
0.31

Persistence:

0.832

Half-life:

4 days