V-Lab
AIM ImmunoTech Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
100.45%
decreased by 2.90%
1 Week
114.88%
increased by 11.53%
1 Month
128.03%
increased by 24.68%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 11:09 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 12, 1996 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 5 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 5 days.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 41 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2396 | 25.63*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6121 | 40.99*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0269 | 1.78* |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 1.5769 | 3.05*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0600 | 3.43*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9020 | 30.98*** |
Persistence:
0.865
Half-life:
5 days
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