V-Lab
AIM ImmunoTech Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
96.12%
decreased by 11.62%
1 Week
101.79%
decreased by 5.95%
1 Month
112.90%
increased by 5.16%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 11:15 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 12, 1996 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 5 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 5 days.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 41 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2379 | 25.65*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6145 | 41.87*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0270 | 1.81* |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 1.4978 | 3.21*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0569 | 3.65*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9068 | 35.19*** |
Persistence:
0.866
Half-life:
5 days
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