V-Lab
Ocugen Inc GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026
1 Day
87.13%
decreased by 1.46%
1 Week
90.85%
increased by 2.26%
1 Month
102.16%
increased by 13.57%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 09:16 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 3, 2014 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 129% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 2.2458 | 7.75*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1678 | 8.57*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8499 | 72.44*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0946 | -4.24*** |
Persistence:
0.970
Half-life:
23 days
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