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V-Lab

Ocugen Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026

1 Day

75.26%

decreased by 1.62%

1 Week

82.44%

increased by 5.56%

1 Month

93.54%

increased by 16.66%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 09:16 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Ocugen Inc MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 3, 2014 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 101% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

111
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2804
10.99***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.5984
37.47***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.1412
-4.90***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

4.7162
0.29
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.9993
0.32
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.808

Half-life:

3 days