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V-Lab

NVIDIA Corp MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

37.38%

decreased by 0.92%

1 Week

38.68%

increased by 0.38%

1 Month

41.96%

increased by 3.66%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 09:57 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of NVIDIA Corp MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 22, 1999 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 359% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

66
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0370
12.55***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8248
115.82***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1331
21.03***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0313
3.21***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0233
6.03***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9746
218.51***

Persistence:

0.928

Half-life:

9 days