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V-Lab

NVIDIA Corp MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026

1 Day

38.45%

decreased by 1.02%

1 Week

39.52%

increased by 0.05%

1 Month

42.19%

increased by 2.72%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 09:28 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of NVIDIA Corp MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 22, 1999 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 357% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

66
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0370
12.24***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8243
115.89***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1322
21.24***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0318
3.19***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0233
5.99***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9745
216.56***

Persistence:

0.927

Half-life:

9 days