V-Lab
NVIDIA Corp MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026
1 Day
38.45%
decreased by 1.02%
1 Week
39.52%
increased by 0.05%
1 Month
42.19%
increased by 2.72%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 09:28 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 22, 1999 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 357% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 66 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0370 | 12.24*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8243 | 115.89*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1322 | 21.24*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0318 | 3.19*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0233 | 5.99*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9745 | 216.56*** |
Persistence:
0.927
Half-life:
9 days
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