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NVIDIA Corp MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 15th, 2026

1 Day

44.69%

increased by 4.51%

1 Week

44.96%

increased by 4.78%

1 Month

46.03%

increased by 5.85%

Analysis last updated: Monday, September 14, 2026 at 09:32 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of NVIDIA Corp MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 22, 1999 to Sep 11, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 363% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 363% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow66
αARCH0.0378
2.95***
βGARCH0.8188
29.53***
γleverage0.1371
3.98***
λ₁tau intercept0.0327
1.36
λ₂forecast adj.0.0235
2.43**
λ₃tau persistence0.9742
89.74***

0.925

Persistence

9d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

66
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0378
2.95***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8188
29.53***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1371
3.98***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0327
1.36
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0235
2.43**
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9742
89.74***

Persistence:

0.925

Half-life:

9 days