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V-Lab

Ming Shing Group Holding Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 6th, 2026

1 Day

147.81%

increased by 22.22%

1 Week

142.03%

increased by 16.44%

1 Month

140.53%

increased by 14.94%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 6, 2026 at 12:30 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of Ming Shing Group Holding Ltd MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 22, 2024 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns, rising far more after gains than after losses. This is the reverse of the usual leverage effect, rare among risky assets.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

126
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.3388
7.55***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0000
0.00
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.2856
-8.28***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

10.0000
0.10
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
0.00
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.8715
0.75

Persistence:

0.196

Half-life:

0 days