V-Lab
Ming Shing Group Holding Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 6th, 2026
1 Day
147.81%
1 Week
142.03%
1 Month
140.53%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 6, 2026 at 12:30 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 22, 2024 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns, rising far more after gains than after losses. This is the reverse of the usual leverage effect, rare among risky assets.
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 126 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.3388 | 7.55*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.2856 | -8.28*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 0.10 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.8715 | 0.75 |
Persistence:
0.196
Half-life:
0 days
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