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V-Lab

Ming Shing Group Holding Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026

1 Day

128.05%

decreased by 0.11%

1 Week

137.53%

increased by 9.37%

1 Month

139.72%

increased by 11.56%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 09:30 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of Ming Shing Group Holding Ltd MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 22, 2024 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 279% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

126
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2667
4.59***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0000
0.00
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.1963
-4.91***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

10.0000
0.09
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
0.00
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.8721
0.67

Persistence:

0.169

Half-life:

0 days