PMA Graphene Technology Group Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, October 26th, 2026
1 Day
47.27%
decreased by 2.42%
1 Week
90.31%
increased by 40.62%
1 Month
440.06%
increased by 390.37%
Analysis last updated: Friday, October 23, 2026 at 10:32 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 22, 2024 to Oct 23, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 1 trading day, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 1 day.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 1-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| mwindow | 31 | |
| αARCH | 0.2324 | 4.23*** |
| βGARCH | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
| γleverage | 0.1888 | 1.36 |
| λ₁tau intercept | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
| λ₂forecast adj. | 0.9794 | 9.86*** |
| λ₃tau persistence | 0.0171 | 7.80*** |
0.327
Persistence1d
Half-lifeσ
MF2-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 31 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2324 | 4.23*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1888 | 1.36 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.9794 | 9.86*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0171 | 7.80*** |
Persistence:
0.327
Half-life:
1 days
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