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V-Lab

Ming Shing Group Holding Ltd Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 6th, 2026

1 Day

133.51%

increased by 23.94%

1 Week

142.00%

increased by 32.43%

1 Month

147.93%

increased by 38.36%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 6, 2026 at 12:30 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of Ming Shing Group Holding Ltd S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 22, 2024 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 2 trading days.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.2631
3.83***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.3539
2.57**
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.2917
2.12**
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.1368
0.81

Persistence:

0.646

Half-life:

2 days