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V-Lab

Ford Motor Co Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026

1 Day

40.23%

increased by 1.18%

1 Week

40.20%

increased by 1.15%

1 Month

40.11%

increased by 1.06%

Analysis last updated: Monday, August 24, 2026 at 09:42 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Ford Motor Co S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 15 trading days.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.6617
7.93***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0666
7.22***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8873
46.60***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ1-0.0900
-2.40**
γ20.1537
2.70***
γ3-0.0861
-2.02**
γ4-0.0090
-0.21
γ50.0991
2.19**
γ6-0.1727
-3.77***
γ70.1682
3.40***
γ8-0.0161
-0.33
γ9-0.1121
-2.37**
γ100.0807
2.24**

Persistence:

0.954

Half-life:

15 days