V-Lab
Gorilla Techno Gro Inc -Redh Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
106.14%
increased by 2.48%
1 Week
125.92%
increased by 22.26%
1 Month
184.95%
increased by 81.29%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 09:51 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 9, 2021 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, volatility shocks have a half-life of 9242 trading days (~36.7 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
τ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.6332 | 2.05** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.4443 | 0.70 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.5556 | 0.88 |
Spline Coefficients
K=10
| γ1 | 24.5800 | 2.38** |
| γ2 | -40.3213 | -2.77*** |
| γ3 | 21.3889 | 3.36*** |
| γ4 | -13.7728 | -1.63 |
| γ5 | 14.0155 | 2.03** |
| γ6 | -12.2842 | -1.72* |
| γ7 | 14.1453 | 1.17 |
| γ8 | -15.1023 | -1.39 |
| γ9 | 12.5948 | 1.36 |
| γ10 | -6.8117 | -1.06 |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
9242 days
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