Gorilla Techno Gro Inc -Redh Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Volatility prediction for Friday, October 23rd, 2026
1 Day
107.04%
1 Week
119.40%
1 Month
159.52%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 22, 2026 at 09:22 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 9, 2021 to Oct 16, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, volatility shocks have a half-life of 10345 trading days (~41.1 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
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| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 1.6377 | 2.19** |
| αARCH | 0.4269 | 0.43 |
| βGARCH | 0.5730 | 0.57 |
| γ1 | 22.1208 | 1.91* |
| γ2 | -36.8974 | -2.22** |
| γ3 | 19.6283 | 2.39** |
| γ4 | -10.6843 | -1.09 |
| γ5 | 8.1473 | 0.82 |
| γ6 | -3.9329 | -0.66 |
| γ7 | 4.0605 | 0.50 |
| γ8 | -5.4254 | -0.68 |
| γ9 | 5.5672 | 0.72 |
| γ10 | -3.2779 | -0.57 |
1.000
Persistence10345d
Half-lifeZero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.6377 | 2.19** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.4269 | 0.43 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.5730 | 0.57 |
| γ1 | 22.1208 | 1.91* |
| γ2 | -36.8974 | -2.22** |
| γ3 | 19.6283 | 2.39** |
| γ4 | -10.6843 | -1.09 |
| γ5 | 8.1473 | 0.82 |
| γ6 | -3.9329 | -0.66 |
| γ7 | 4.0605 | 0.50 |
| γ8 | -5.4254 | -0.68 |
| γ9 | 5.5672 | 0.72 |
| γ10 | -3.2779 | -0.57 |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
10345 days
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