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Gorilla Techno Gro Inc -Redh Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Volatility prediction for Monday, September 21st, 2026

1 Day

70.78%

decreased by 3.14%

1 Week

93.13%

increased by 19.21%

1 Month

152.69%

increased by 78.77%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 18, 2026 at 10:27 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Gorilla Techno Gro Inc -Redh S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 9, 2021 to Sep 18, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, volatility shocks have a half-life of 10663 trading days (~42.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 1.000, shock half-life ~10663 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.7073
2.41**
αARCH0.4300
0.40
βGARCH0.5699
0.53
γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ123.5060
1.94*
γ2-38.8467
-2.26**
γ320.5792
2.49**
γ4-12.0823
-1.29
γ510.8026
1.28
γ6-7.9255
-1.39
γ79.0091
0.90
γ8-10.0195
-1.05
γ98.6965
0.89
γ10-4.7876
-0.65

1.000

Persistence

10663d

Half-life
τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.7073
2.41**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.4300
0.40
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.5699
0.53
γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ123.5060
1.94*
γ2-38.8467
-2.26**
γ320.5792
2.49**
γ4-12.0823
-1.29
γ510.8026
1.28
γ6-7.9255
-1.39
γ79.0091
0.90
γ8-10.0195
-1.05
γ98.6965
0.89
γ10-4.7876
-0.65

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

10663 days