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Gorilla Techno Gro Inc -Redh Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Volatility prediction for Friday, October 23rd, 2026

1 Day

107.04%

decreased by 24.92%

1 Week

119.40%

decreased by 12.56%

1 Month

159.52%

increased by 27.56%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 22, 2026 at 09:22 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/22/2024

to

10/22/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Gorilla Techno Gro Inc -Redh S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 9, 2021 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, volatility shocks have a half-life of 10345 trading days (~41.1 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 1.000, shock half-life ~10345 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.6377
2.19**
αARCH0.4269
0.43
βGARCH0.5730
0.57
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ122.1208
1.91*
γ2-36.8974
-2.22**
γ319.6283
2.39**
γ4-10.6843
-1.09
γ58.1473
0.82
γ6-3.9329
-0.66
γ74.0605
0.50
γ8-5.4254
-0.68
γ95.5672
0.72
γ10-3.2779
-0.57

1.000

Persistence

10345d

Half-life
τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.6377
2.19**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.4269
0.43
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.5730
0.57
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ122.1208
1.91*
γ2-36.8974
-2.22**
γ319.6283
2.39**
γ4-10.6843
-1.09
γ58.1473
0.82
γ6-3.9329
-0.66
γ74.0605
0.50
γ8-5.4254
-0.68
γ95.5672
0.72
γ10-3.2779
-0.57

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

10345 days