V-Lab
Gorilla Techno Gro Inc -Redh Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
101.99%
increased by 2.14%
1 Week
125.35%
increased by 25.50%
1 Month
192.19%
increased by 92.34%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 09:45 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 9, 2021 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, volatility shocks have a half-life of 7453 trading days (~29.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
τ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.5843 | 1.78* |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.4692 | 2.04** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.5307 | 2.31** |
Spline Coefficients
K=10
| γ1 | 25.6016 | 2.23** |
| γ2 | -41.3210 | -2.50** |
| γ3 | 21.3086 | 3.12*** |
| γ4 | -14.5049 | -1.84* |
| γ5 | 16.0415 | 2.56** |
| γ6 | -15.0175 | -1.59 |
| γ7 | 17.5988 | 1.27 |
| γ8 | -19.1228 | -1.70* |
| γ9 | 15.8954 | 1.92* |
| γ10 | -8.3553 | -1.48 |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
7453 days
Other Gorilla Techno Gro Inc -Redh Analyses
Other Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Analyses on Equities