V-Lab
Galera Therapeutics Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026
1 Day
122.76%
decreased by 12.97%
1 Week
148.01%
increased by 12.28%
1 Month
173.02%
increased by 37.29%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 09:28 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 7, 2019 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 115% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 126 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2420 | 8.32*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.3878 | 11.36*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.2795 | 4.19*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.1196 | 0.29 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9993 | 109.12*** |
Persistence:
0.770
Half-life:
3 days
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