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V-Lab

Galera Therapeutics Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026

1 Day

122.76%

decreased by 12.97%

1 Week

148.01%

increased by 12.28%

1 Month

173.02%

increased by 37.29%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 09:28 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Galera Therapeutics Inc MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 7, 2019 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 115% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

126
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2420
8.32***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.3878
11.36***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.2795
4.19***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.1196
0.29
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
0.00
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9993
109.12***

Persistence:

0.770

Half-life:

3 days