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V-Lab

RF Industries Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

77.62%

decreased by 0.39%

1 Week

81.48%

increased by 3.47%

1 Month

89.09%

increased by 11.08%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 09:20 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of RF Industries Ltd MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 1, 1990 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 52% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

126
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1926
20.92***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6941
58.48***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0658
-5.08***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.3942
1.82*
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.1276
2.06**
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.8563
11.92***

Persistence:

0.854

Half-life:

4 days