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V-Lab

RF Industries Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026

1 Day

78.29%

decreased by 0.05%

1 Week

81.95%

increased by 3.61%

1 Month

88.69%

increased by 10.35%

Analysis last updated: Monday, August 24, 2026 at 09:15 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of RF Industries Ltd MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 1, 1990 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 50% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

126
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1912
20.84***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6939
58.34***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0637
-4.92***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.3941
1.82*
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.1279
2.05**
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.8561
11.87***

Persistence:

0.853

Half-life:

4 days