V-Lab
RF Industries Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026
1 Day
78.29%
1 Week
81.95%
1 Month
88.69%
Analysis last updated: Monday, August 24, 2026 at 09:15 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 1, 1990 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 50% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 126 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1912 | 20.84*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6939 | 58.34*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0637 | -4.92*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.3941 | 1.82* |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.1279 | 2.05** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.8561 | 11.87*** |
Persistence:
0.853
Half-life:
4 days
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