V-Lab
RF Industries Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
77.62%
1 Week
81.48%
1 Month
89.09%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 09:20 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 1, 1990 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 52% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 126 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1926 | 20.92*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6941 | 58.48*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0658 | -5.08*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.3942 | 1.82* |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.1276 | 2.06** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.8563 | 11.92*** |
Persistence:
0.854
Half-life:
4 days
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