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V-Lab

Wal-Mart Stores Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

25.23%

decreased by 0.68%

1 Week

25.57%

decreased by 0.34%

1 Month

26.44%

increased by 0.53%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 10:14 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Wal-Mart Stores Inc MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

66
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0214
8.99***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8241
63.48***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0892
15.51***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0299
1.42
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0621
1.57
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9250
19.11***

Persistence:

0.890

Half-life:

6 days