V-Lab
Wal-Mart Stores Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
25.23%
decreased by 0.68%
1 Week
25.57%
decreased by 0.34%
1 Month
26.44%
increased by 0.53%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 10:14 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 66 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0214 | 8.99*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8241 | 63.48*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0892 | 15.51*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0299 | 1.42 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0621 | 1.57 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9250 | 19.11*** |
Persistence:
0.890
Half-life:
6 days
Other Wal-Mart Stores Inc Analyses
Other MF2-GARCH Analyses on Equities