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V-Lab

Wal-Mart Stores Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, July 22nd, 2026

1 Day

26.76%

increased by 0.62%

1 Week

26.81%

increased by 0.67%

1 Month

27.15%

increased by 1.01%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 21, 2026 at 09:37 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Wal-Mart Stores Inc MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

66
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0214
8.97***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8242
63.53***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0893
15.52***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0299
1.42
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0622
1.57
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9250
19.11***

Persistence:

0.890

Half-life:

6 days