V-Lab
Modular Medical Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026
1 Day
123.10%
decreased by 2.81%
1 Week
137.38%
increased by 11.47%
1 Month
149.35%
increased by 23.44%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 09:27 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 10, 2022 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 285% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 56 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0736 | 5.46*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.4420 | 11.12*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.2099 | 10.03*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 2.1250 | 0.33 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.1775 | 0.55 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.7877 | 1.75* |
Persistence:
0.621
Half-life:
1 days
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