Modular Medical Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 13th, 2026
1 Day
100.57%
decreased by 4.38%
1 Week
108.10%
increased by 3.15%
1 Month
114.07%
increased by 9.12%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 10, 2026 at 10:17 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 10, 2022 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 258% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 56 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0759 | 5.86*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.4404 | 10.07*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1962 | 9.15*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 2.8470 | 0.28 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.1805 | 0.45 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.7557 | 1.16 |
Persistence:
0.614
Half-life:
1 days
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