V-Lab
Modular Medical Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 22nd, 2026
1 Day
132.50%
decreased by 4.07%
1 Week
145.31%
increased by 8.74%
1 Month
154.24%
increased by 17.67%
Analysis last updated: Monday, September 21, 2026 at 09:28 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 10, 2022 to Sep 18, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 1 trading day, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 1 day.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 1-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| mwindow | 56 | |
| αARCH | 0.0786 | 1.85* |
| βGARCH | 0.4304 | 3.45*** |
| γleverage | 0.1809 | 1.76* |
| λ₁tau intercept | 2.0604 | 0.79 |
| λ₂forecast adj. | 0.1853 | 1.07 |
| λ₃tau persistence | 0.7822 | 3.76*** |
0.599
Persistence1d
Half-lifeσ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 56 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0786 | 1.85* |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.4304 | 3.45*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1809 | 1.76* |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 2.0604 | 0.79 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.1853 | 1.07 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.7822 | 3.76*** |
Persistence:
0.599
Half-life:
1 days
Other Modular Medical Inc Analyses
Other MF2-GARCH Analyses on Equities