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V-Lab

Modular Medical Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026

1 Day

123.10%

decreased by 2.81%

1 Week

137.38%

increased by 11.47%

1 Month

149.35%

increased by 23.44%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 09:27 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Modular Medical Inc MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 10, 2022 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 285% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

56
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0736
5.46***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.4420
11.12***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.2099
10.03***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

2.1250
0.33
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.1775
0.55
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.7877
1.75*

Persistence:

0.621

Half-life:

1 days