V-Lab
Modular Medical Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 6th, 2026
1 Day
134.12%
1 Week
139.70%
1 Month
145.24%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 09:28 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 10, 2022 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 58% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 76 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2898 | 11.96*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1061 | -2.68*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 4.7246 | 0.18 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.6837 | 0.33 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.3163 | 0.11 |
Persistence:
0.237
Half-life:
0 days
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