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V-Lab

Modular Medical Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 22nd, 2026

1 Day

132.50%

decreased by 4.07%

1 Week

145.31%

increased by 8.74%

1 Month

154.24%

increased by 17.67%

Analysis last updated: Monday, September 21, 2026 at 09:28 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Modular Medical Inc MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 10, 2022 to Sep 18, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 1 trading day, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 1 day.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 1-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow56
αARCH0.0786
1.85*
βGARCH0.4304
3.45***
γleverage0.1809
1.76*
λ₁tau intercept2.0604
0.79
λ₂forecast adj.0.1853
1.07
λ₃tau persistence0.7822
3.76***

0.599

Persistence

1d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

56
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0786
1.85*
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.4304
3.45***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1809
1.76*
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

2.0604
0.79
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.1853
1.07
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.7822
3.76***

Persistence:

0.599

Half-life:

1 days