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V-Lab

Modular Medical Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 13th, 2026

1 Day

100.57%

decreased by 4.38%

1 Week

108.10%

increased by 3.15%

1 Month

114.07%

increased by 9.12%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 10, 2026 at 10:17 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Modular Medical Inc MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 10, 2022 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 258% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

56
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0759
5.86***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.4404
10.07***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1962
9.15***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

2.8470
0.28
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.1805
0.45
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.7557
1.16

Persistence:

0.614

Half-life:

1 days