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V-Lab

Modular Medical Inc GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 19th, 2026

1 Day

145.19%

decreased by 4.53%

1 Week

143.26%

decreased by 6.46%

1 Month

136.98%

decreased by 12.74%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 16, 2026 at 10:19 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/16/2024

to

10/16/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Modular Medical Inc GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 10, 2022 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 19 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 19 days.

σ

GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 19-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.8753
2.16**
αARCH0.0971
3.49***
βGARCH0.8669
26.66***

0.964

Persistence

19d

Half-life
σ

GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.8753
2.16**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0971
3.49***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8669
26.66***

Persistence:

0.964

Half-life:

19 days