Modular Medical Inc GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, October 19th, 2026
1 Day
145.19%
decreased by 4.53%
1 Week
143.26%
decreased by 6.46%
1 Month
136.98%
decreased by 12.74%
Analysis last updated: Friday, October 16, 2026 at 10:19 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 10, 2022 to Oct 16, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 19 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 19 days.
σ
GARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 19-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 1.8753 | 2.16** |
| αARCH | 0.0971 | 3.49*** |
| βGARCH | 0.8669 | 26.66*** |
0.964
Persistence19d
Half-lifeσ
GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.8753 | 2.16** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0971 | 3.49*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8669 | 26.66*** |
Persistence:
0.964
Half-life:
19 days
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