Modular Medical Inc Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, October 19th, 2026
1 Day
185.55%
increased by 23.75%
1 Week
184.50%
increased by 22.70%
1 Month
180.54%
increased by 18.74%
Analysis last updated: Friday, October 16, 2026 at 10:19 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 10, 2022 to Oct 16, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 62 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 62 days.
μ
AMEM Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 62-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.7364 | 1.93* |
| αARCH | 0.1178 | 3.10*** |
| βGARCH | 0.7980 | 25.42*** |
| γleverage | 0.1462 | 1.47 |
0.989
Persistence62d
Half-lifeμ
AMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.7364 | 1.93* |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1178 | 3.10*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7980 | 25.42*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1462 | 1.47 |
Persistence:
0.989
Half-life:
62 days
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