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V-Lab

Modular Medical Inc Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 19th, 2026

1 Day

185.55%

increased by 23.75%

1 Week

184.50%

increased by 22.70%

1 Month

180.54%

increased by 18.74%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 16, 2026 at 10:19 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/16/2024

to

10/16/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Modular Medical Inc AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 10, 2022 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 62 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 62 days.

μ

AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 62-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.7364
1.93*
αARCH0.1178
3.10***
βGARCH0.7980
25.42***
γleverage0.1462
1.47

0.989

Persistence

62d

Half-life
μ

AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.7364
1.93*
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1178
3.10***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7980
25.42***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1462
1.47

Persistence:

0.989

Half-life:

62 days