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Modular Medical Inc EGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 19th, 2026

1 Day

139.51%

decreased by 4.39%

1 Week

137.60%

decreased by 6.30%

1 Month

132.00%

decreased by 11.90%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 16, 2026 at 10:19 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/16/2024

to

10/16/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Modular Medical Inc EGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 10, 2022 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 16 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 16 days.

σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 16-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.1657
2.19**
αARCH0.1848
3.54***
βGARCH0.9586
54.43***
γleverage-0.0508
-0.56

0.959

Persistence

16d

Half-life
σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.1657
2.19**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1848
3.54***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9586
54.43***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0508
-0.56

Persistence:

0.959

Half-life:

16 days