Modular Medical Inc EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, October 19th, 2026
1 Day
139.51%
decreased by 4.39%
1 Week
137.60%
decreased by 6.30%
1 Month
132.00%
decreased by 11.90%
Analysis last updated: Friday, October 16, 2026 at 10:19 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 10, 2022 to Oct 16, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 16 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 16 days.
σ
EGARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 16-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.1657 | 2.19** |
| αARCH | 0.1848 | 3.54*** |
| βGARCH | 0.9586 | 54.43*** |
| γleverage | -0.0508 | -0.56 |
0.959
Persistence16d
Half-lifeσ
EGARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1657 | 2.19** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1848 | 3.54*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9586 | 54.43*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0508 | -0.56 |
Persistence:
0.959
Half-life:
16 days
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