Modular Medical Inc MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, October 19th, 2026
1 Day
213.07%
increased by 43.18%
1 Week
209.53%
increased by 39.64%
1 Month
196.78%
increased by 26.89%
Analysis last updated: Friday, October 16, 2026 at 10:19 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 10, 2022 to Oct 16, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 31 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 31 days.
μ
MEM Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 31-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.9765 | 1.34 |
| αARCH | 0.2005 | 3.60*** |
| βGARCH | 0.7772 | 21.82*** |
0.978
Persistence31d
Half-lifeμ
MEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.9765 | 1.34 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2005 | 3.60*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7772 | 21.82*** |
Persistence:
0.978
Half-life:
31 days
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