V-Lab
Vivakor Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
450.06%
1 Week
406.23%
1 Month
358.93%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 10:12 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 15, 2022 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 46% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 81 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.3980 | 13.51*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.4221 | 23.62*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1262 | -2.96*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 2.8565 | 0.70 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.3120 | 7.16*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.6880 | 7.73*** |
Persistence:
0.757
Half-life:
2 days
Other MF2-GARCH Analyses on Equities