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V-Lab

Vivakor Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

450.06%

increased by 5.08%

1 Week

406.23%

decreased by 38.75%

1 Month

358.93%

decreased by 86.05%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 10:12 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Vivakor Inc MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 15, 2022 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 46% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

81
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.3980
13.51***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.4221
23.62***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.1262
-2.96***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

2.8565
0.70
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.3120
7.16***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.6880
7.73***

Persistence:

0.757

Half-life:

2 days