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V-Lab

Vivakor Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, July 22nd, 2026

1 Day

632.54%

decreased by 84.70%

1 Week

661.14%

decreased by 56.10%

1 Month

1,026.29%

increased by 309.05%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 21, 2026 at 09:36 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Vivakor Inc MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 15, 2022 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 98% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

31
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.3138
6.95***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.5173
26.69***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.3070
3.49***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

10.0000
3.37***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0773
2.95***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9227
39.88***

Persistence:

0.985

Half-life:

45 days