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Vivakor Inc GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, September 14th, 2026

1 Day

173.71%

increased by 16.13%

1 Week

177.72%

increased by 20.14%

1 Month

190.45%

increased by 32.87%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 11:34 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Vivakor Inc GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 15, 2022 to Sep 11, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 24 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 24 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 3.14 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 24-day half-lifev = 3.14 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst222.0890
0.76
αARCH0.2132
8.75***
βGARCH0.9720
28.05***
νDF3.1370
5.84***

0.972

Persistence

24d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

222.0890
0.76
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2132
8.75***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9720
28.05***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

3.1370
5.84***

Persistence:

0.972

Half-life:

24 days