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V-Lab

BARK Inc GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 5th, 2026

1 Day

62.31%

increased by 7.75%

1 Week

64.15%

increased by 9.59%

1 Month

68.62%

increased by 14.06%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 2, 2026 at 11:18 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/02/2024

to

10/02/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of BARK Inc GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 11, 2020 to Oct 2, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 9 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 9 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 3.99 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 9-day half-lifev = 3.99 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst22.2214
1.08
αARCH0.0929
1.91*
βGARCH0.9269
11.55***
νDF3.9910
0.91

0.927

Persistence

9d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

22.2214
1.08
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0929
1.91*
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9269
11.55***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

3.9910
0.91

Persistence:

0.927

Half-life:

9 days