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V-Lab
V-Lab

BARK Inc GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 8th, 2026

1 Day

64.40%

increased by 4.71%

1 Week

65.79%

increased by 6.10%

1 Month

69.30%

increased by 9.61%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 4, 2026 at 10:36 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of BARK Inc GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 11, 2020 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 10 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 10 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 3.96 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 10-day half-lifev = 3.96 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst22.1883
1.04
αARCH0.0886
1.96*
βGARCH0.9333
12.04***
νDF3.9583
0.93

0.933

Persistence

10d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

22.1883
1.04
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0886
1.96*
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9333
12.04***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

3.9583
0.93

Persistence:

0.933

Half-life:

10 days