V-Lab
BARK Inc Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, September 9th, 2026
1 Day
89.00%
increased by 31.00%
1 Week
90.01%
increased by 32.01%
1 Month
92.18%
increased by 34.18%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 8, 2026 at 10:43 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 11, 2020 to Sep 4, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 7 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 7 days.
μ
AMEM Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 7-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 3.5425 | 3.60*** |
| αARCH | 0.5401 | 2.29** |
| βGARCH | 0.4127 | 3.51*** |
| γleverage | -0.1057 | -0.44 |
0.900
Persistence7d
Half-lifeμ
AMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 3.5425 | 3.60*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.5401 | 2.29** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.4127 | 3.51*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1057 | -0.44 |
Persistence:
0.900
Half-life:
7 days
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