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Hain Celestial Group Inc/The GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 15th, 2026

1 Day

98.34%

decreased by 0.90%

1 Week

98.13%

decreased by 1.11%

1 Month

97.28%

decreased by 1.96%

Analysis last updated: Monday, September 14, 2026 at 09:27 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Hain Celestial Group Inc/The GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 20, 1994 to Sep 11, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.997, volatility shocks have a half-life of 233 trading days (~0.9 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.997, shock half-life ~233 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0299
2.63***
αARCH0.0195
3.77***
βGARCH0.9739
232.77***
γleverage0.0073
1.05

0.997

Persistence

233d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0299
2.63***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0195
3.77***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9739
232.77***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0073
1.05

Persistence:

0.997

Half-life:

233 days