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Hain Celestial Group Inc/The GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 5th, 2026

1 Day

87.51%

decreased by 1.03%

1 Week

87.33%

decreased by 1.21%

1 Month

86.62%

decreased by 1.92%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 2, 2026 at 10:36 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/02/2024

to

10/02/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Hain Celestial Group Inc/The GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 20, 1994 to Oct 2, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.997, volatility shocks have a half-life of 226 trading days (~0.9 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.997, shock half-life ~226 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0301
2.64***
αARCH0.0192
3.76***
βGARCH0.9740
232.68***
γleverage0.0074
1.08

0.997

Persistence

226d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0301
2.64***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0192
3.76***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9740
232.68***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0074
1.08

Persistence:

0.997

Half-life:

226 days