Hain Celestial Group Inc/The GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, October 26th, 2026
1 Day
191.03%
decreased by 1.63%
1 Week
190.78%
decreased by 1.88%
1 Month
189.76%
decreased by 2.90%
Analysis last updated: Friday, October 23, 2026 at 10:09 PM UTC
Press Delete or Backspace to remove this series.
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 20, 1994 to Oct 23, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.999, volatility shocks have a half-life of 465 trading days (~1.8 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
High persistence: persistence 0.999, shock half-life ~465 days
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0225 | 1.98** |
| αARCH | 0.0202 | 3.57*** |
| βGARCH | 0.9760 | 262.21*** |
| γleverage | 0.0048 | 0.60 |
0.999
Persistence465d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0225 | 1.98** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0202 | 3.57*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9760 | 262.21*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0048 | 0.60 |
Persistence:
0.999
Half-life:
465 days
Other Hain Celestial Group Inc/The Analyses
Other GJR-GARCH Analyses on Equities