Mount Logan Capital Inc EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 21st, 2026
1 Day
53.48%
decreased by 8.24%
1 Week
55.99%
decreased by 5.73%
1 Month
63.92%
increased by 2.20%
Analysis last updated: Monday, July 20, 2026 at 09:28 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 15, 2025 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 12 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 12 days.
σ
EGARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1831 | 8.99*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.4381 | 15.86*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9442 | 113.45*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0318 | 1.26 |
Persistence:
0.944
Half-life:
12 days
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