Skip to main content
V-Lab

Mount Logan Capital Inc Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

74.27%

decreased by 2.73%

1 Week

84.52%

increased by 7.52%

1 Month

116.00%

increased by 39.00%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 09:58 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Mount Logan Capital Inc S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 15, 2025 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.995, volatility shocks have a half-life of 148 trading days (~0.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.3614
1.98**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.3409
4.37***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6545
8.25***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-3.0099
-2.37**

Persistence:

0.995

Half-life:

148 days