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V-Lab

Energys Group Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

69.63%

decreased by 0.41%

1 Week

73.04%

increased by 3.00%

1 Month

78.23%

increased by 8.19%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 09:40 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of Energys Group Ltd MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 1, 2025 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns, rising far more after gains than after losses. This is the reverse of the usual leverage effect, rare among risky assets.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

36
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0883
2.02**
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7542
11.47***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0883
-2.04**
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

8.1965
0.31
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0930
0.52
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.5210
0.51

Persistence:

0.798

Half-life:

3 days