V-Lab
Energys Group Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
70.07%
decreased by 0.29%
1 Week
72.67%
increased by 2.31%
1 Month
73.52%
increased by 3.16%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 09:47 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 1, 2025 to Aug 21, 2026Boundary Parameters
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 36 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0510 | 0.36 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0227 | 0.84 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 0.30 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0896 | 1.67* |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.4463 | 1.33 |
Persistence:
0.062
Half-life:
0 days
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