V-Lab
Energys Group Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, September 14th, 2026
1 Day
59.53%
decreased by 0.06%
1 Week
60.67%
increased by 1.08%
1 Month
60.07%
increased by 0.48%
Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 10:47 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 1, 2025 to Sep 11, 2026σ
MF2-GARCH Model
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| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| mwindow | 126 | |
| αARCH | 0.0672 | 2.33** |
| βGARCH | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
| γleverage | -0.0204 | -0.67 |
| λ₁tau intercept | 0.2327 | 0.77 |
| λ₂forecast adj. | 0.0040 | 0.98 |
| λ₃tau persistence | 0.9746 | 225.76*** |
0.057
Persistence0d
Half-lifeσ
MF2-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 126 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0672 | 2.33** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0204 | -0.67 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.2327 | 0.77 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0040 | 0.98 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9746 | 225.76*** |
Persistence:
0.057
Half-life:
0 days
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