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V-Lab

Energys Group Ltd GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, September 14th, 2026

1 Day

139.35%

decreased by 6.22%

1 Week

189.69%

increased by 44.12%

1 Month

242.37%

increased by 96.80%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 10:47 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of Energys Group Ltd GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 1, 2025 to Sep 11, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 2.15 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 3-day half-lifev = 2.15 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst283.4330
0.50
αARCH0.2555
1.88*
βGARCH0.8069
2.25**
νDF2.1466
8.67***

0.807

Persistence

3d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

283.4330
0.50
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2555
1.88*
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8069
2.25**
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

2.1466
8.67***

Persistence:

0.807

Half-life:

3 days