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V-Lab

Energys Group Ltd GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 26th, 2026

1 Day

128.37%

decreased by 19.02%

1 Week

143.08%

decreased by 4.31%

1 Month

166.50%

increased by 19.11%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 23, 2026 at 10:02 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/23/2024

to

10/23/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of Energys Group Ltd GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 1, 2025 to Oct 23, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 5 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 5 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 2.31 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 5-day half-lifev = 2.31 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωlong-run141.6933
0.56
αscore0.2146
2.47**
βpersistence0.8653
3.79***
νDF2.3122
4.87***

0.865

Persistence

5d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

long-run

Long-run variance given a price move

141.6933
0.56
α

score

Weight on the scaled score

0.2146
2.47**
β

persistence

Volatility persistence

0.8653
3.79***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

2.3122
4.87***

Persistence:

0.865

Half-life:

5 days