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Energys Group Ltd GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 5th, 2026

1 Day

144.85%

decreased by 8.27%

1 Week

204.83%

increased by 51.71%

1 Month

275.75%

increased by 122.63%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 2, 2026 at 10:32 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/02/2024

to

10/02/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of Energys Group Ltd GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 1, 2025 to Oct 2, 2026

Model Insight

The estimated Student-t degrees of freedom v = 2.10 sit at the infinite-variance boundary (v → 2): the model is attributing extreme moves to heavy tails rather than to volatility, so the volatility scale is unreliable here. See the boundary-parameters flag.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Unreliable tails: v = 2.10 sits at the infinite-variance boundary
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst393.0067
0.46
αARCH0.2518
2.22**
βGARCH0.8429
2.61***
νDF2.0991
14.35***

0.843

Persistence

4d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

393.0067
0.46
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2518
2.22**
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8429
2.61***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

2.0991
14.35***

Persistence:

0.843

Half-life:

4 days