V-Lab
ServiceNow Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026
1 Day
43.39%
decreased by 0.83%
1 Week
43.27%
decreased by 0.95%
1 Month
42.86%
decreased by 1.36%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 09:48 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 29, 2012 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 126 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.01 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9315 | 208.20*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0810 | 21.11*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0090 | 0.21 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.01 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9986 | 131.82*** |
Persistence:
0.972
Half-life:
24 days
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