V-Lab
ServiceNow Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
56.09%
decreased by 1.60%
1 Week
55.36%
decreased by 2.33%
1 Month
52.85%
decreased by 4.84%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 10:49 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 29, 2012 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 126 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.01 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9309 | 206.55*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0810 | 20.91*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0087 | 0.22 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.01 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9987 | 137.45*** |
Persistence:
0.971
Half-life:
24 days
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