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V-Lab

ServiceNow Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

56.09%

decreased by 1.60%

1 Week

55.36%

decreased by 2.33%

1 Month

52.85%

decreased by 4.84%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 10:49 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of ServiceNow Inc MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 29, 2012 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

126
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.01
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9309
206.55***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0810
20.91***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0087
0.22
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
0.01
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9987
137.45***

Persistence:

0.971

Half-life:

24 days