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V-Lab

ServiceNow Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026

1 Day

43.39%

decreased by 0.83%

1 Week

43.27%

decreased by 0.95%

1 Month

42.86%

decreased by 1.36%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 09:48 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of ServiceNow Inc MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 29, 2012 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

126
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.01
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9315
208.20***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0810
21.11***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0090
0.21
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
0.01
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9986
131.82***

Persistence:

0.972

Half-life:

24 days