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V-Lab

ServiceNow Inc GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026

1 Day

52.74%

decreased by 3.10%

1 Week

52.37%

decreased by 3.47%

1 Month

51.05%

decreased by 4.79%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 09:48 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of ServiceNow Inc GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 29, 2012 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 30 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 30 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 4.11 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

7.4861
3.26***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0656
14.12***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9774
134.16***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

4.1081
5.39***

Persistence:

0.977

Half-life:

30 days