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V-Lab

ATIF Holdings Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

108.15%

increased by 7.60%

1 Week

110.99%

increased by 10.44%

1 Month

115.03%

increased by 14.48%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 09:20 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of ATIF Holdings Ltd MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 3, 2019 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 74% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

36
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2763
12.03***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.5941
20.65***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.1179
-3.72***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

4.5316
0.26
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0066
0.19
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9107
2.76***

Persistence:

0.811

Half-life:

3 days