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V-Lab

ATIF Holdings Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

81.97%

decreased by 1.26%

1 Week

94.85%

increased by 11.62%

1 Month

110.91%

increased by 27.68%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 09:17 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of ATIF Holdings Ltd MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 3, 2019 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 73% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

36
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2807
12.14***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.5938
20.77***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.1188
-3.71***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

4.6187
0.27
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0068
0.20
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9100
2.82***

Persistence:

0.815

Half-life:

3 days