V-Lab
ATIF Holdings Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
81.97%
1 Week
94.85%
1 Month
110.91%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 09:17 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 3, 2019 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 73% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 36 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2807 | 12.14*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.5938 | 20.77*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1188 | -3.71*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 4.6187 | 0.27 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0068 | 0.20 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9100 | 2.82*** |
Persistence:
0.815
Half-life:
3 days
Other ATIF Holdings Ltd Analyses
Other MF2-GARCH Analyses on Equities